Speaker
Dr. Kevin Wong
Research Structural Engineer
Department of Commerce and the Federal Government
National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)
USA
Abstract
The design, construction and use of decision support systems in water resources and environmental management is illustrated by the application of GMCR II to a controversy over the pollution of an underground aquifer that was apparently caused by a chemical factory. The decision support system GMCR II helps analysts gain a systematic understanding of strategic conflicts in the real world, thereby producing valuable strategic advice for decision makers. The capacity of GMCR II to model a conflict effectively depends on its flexible procedures to elicit key characteristics of the conflict, such as the relative preferences of each decision maker. Using these procedures, underlying mathematical structures are automatically calibrated so that advanced algorithms can carry out a comprehensive analysis of the model. Practitioners and researchers in water resources and environmental management have played pioneering roles in the development and application of noteworthy decision support systems based on both physical and societal systems models. This technology has permitted them to address a wide range of challenging systems problems, which will be extended much further in the future.
Reference
This presentation is based upon research contained in the following paper:
Hipel, K.W., Fang, L., and Kilgour, D.M., “Decision Support Systems in Water Resources and Environmental Management”, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, Vol. 13, No. 9, pp. 761-770, 2008.